In Q1 2025, Mainstreet posted our 13th consecutive quarter of double-digit, year-over-year growth across all key operating metrics. Despite Q1 being a typically slower winter rental season, funds from operations (“FFO”) increased 19%, net operating income (“NOI”) rose 18% and rental revenues grew 16%. Same-asset NOI rose 11% while revenues on a same-asset basis grew 10%. Operating margins increased from 63.5% to 64.7%, and from 63.7% to 64.7% on a same-asset basis.
Bob Dhillon, Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Mainstreet, said, “As we enter a new fiscal year, we believe the current operating environment presents major opportunities for Mainstreet to aggressively expand our portfolio, thereby extending our decades-long legacy of countercyclical growth.” He added, “As ever, we remain deeply committed to Mainstreet’s role as a critical supplier of affordable living amid the current inflationary period.”
The Mainstreet Mission: We believe the current operating environment, including an ongoing trade dispute with the U.S., presents the opportunity for accelerated acquisitions in fiscal 2025, potentially paving the way for a new phase of countercyclical growth at Mainstreet. As always, we remain passionately committed to our role as a crucial provider of quality, affordable homes for Canadians, offering renovated apartments and customer services at an average mid-market rental rate of $1,200.
Key Metrics | Q1 2025 Performance Highlights
Rental Revenue |
|
From operations |
Up 16% to $67.6 million (vs. $58.3 million in Q1 2024) |
From same asset properties |
Up 10% to $62.9 million (vs. $57.4 million in Q1 2024) |
Net Operating Income (NOI) |
|
From operations |
Up 18% to $43.7 million (vs. $37.0 million in Q1 2024) |
From same asset properties |
Up 11% to $40.7 million (vs. $36.6 million in Q1 2024) |
Funds from operations (FFO)1 |
|
FFO-before current income tax |
Up 23% to $25.4 million (vs. $20.7 million in Q1 2024) |
FFO per basic share-before current income tax |
Up 23% to $2.72 (vs. $2.22 in Q1 2024) |
FFO-after current income tax |
Up 19% to $23.0 million (vs. $19.3 million in Q1 2024) |
FFO per basic share-after current income tax |
Up 19% to $2.47 (vs. $2.07 in Q1 2024) |
Operating Margin |
|
From operations |
64.7% (vs. 63.5% in Q1 2024) |
From same asset properties |
64.7% (vs. 63.7% in Q1 2024) |
Unstabilization rate |
14% (providing potential for future NOI growth) |
Stabilized Units |
422 properties (15,947 units, 14%) out of 480 properties (18,450 units) |
Net Profit |
|
|
Net profit of $56.2 million (vs. profit of $68.5 million in Q1 2024, including change in fair value of $40.2 million in Q1 2025 vs. $56.4 million in Q1 2024) |
Net profit per basic and fully diluted share |
$6.03 (vs $7.36 in Q1 2024) |
Total Capital Expenditures |
$7.3 million (vs. $7.4 million in Q1 2024) |
Total Capital Expenditure (unstablized assets) |
$0.9M (vs. $1.0M in Q1 2024) |
Total Capital Expenditure (stablized assets) |
$6.4M (vs. $6.4M in Q1 2024) |
Vacancy rate |
|
From operations |
4.2% (vs. 3.3% in Q1 2024) |
From same asset properties |
4.2% (vs. 3.3% in Q1 2024) |
Vacancy rate as of February 4, 2025 |
4.3% excluding unrentable units |
|
|
Total Acquisition |
|
During Q1 2025 |
$17.8 million 116 units (vs. $45.3 million 361 units in Q1 2024) |
Subsequent to Q1 2025 |
1 commercial unit ($0.96 million) in Edmonton |
Total YTD Acquisition 2025 |
117 units ($18.8 million) |
Total Units |
|
As of December 31, 2024 |
18,503 units2 (vs. 18,455 units in 2024) |
As of February 4, 2025 |
18,503 units3 |
|
|
Fair Market Value |
Up 2% to $3.5 billion (vs. $3.4 billion in 2024) |
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1 See “Non-IFRS Measures” and Note (1) in MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS to the table titled “Summary of Financial Results” for additional information regarding FFO and a reconciliation of FFO to net profit, the most directly comparable IFRS measurement.
2 Include 53 units held for sale
3 Include 52 units held for sale after disposal of 1 unit subsequent to Q1 2025
A business strategy built on resilience
These financial achievements yet again demonstrate the success of Mainstreet’s value-add business model and nimble management style. Ever since we started trading on the TSX in 2000, Mainstreet has continued to expand our portfolio by consistently adding value and re-investing low-cost capital to aggressively acquire apartment units at opportunistic prices, then repeating the formula. Once acquired, we upgrade units to a consistent standard and return them to the rental market to derive additional value. Combined with an agile management team that adeptly prepares for and responds to changing market conditions, this strategy has helped fortify Mainstreet against outside volatility, allowing us to deliver compounding shareholder returns no matter where we are in the economic cycle. These efforts have provided Mainstreet with a solid foundation for future growth, based on a multitude of inherent advantages that include:
Positive market fundamentals continue in 2025
In addition to Mainstreet’s internal achievements, our management team also expects plenty of external tailwinds as we begin the new fiscal year. Despite the potential for political uncertainty, we believe that highly favourable macroeconomic trends will persist given the deep and structural nature of those forces, which we identify as the following:
CHALLENGES
Political uncertainties
Despite our expectations of an overall favourable operating environment in fiscal 2025, external risks like a trade dispute with the U.S. could put significant strain on Canada’s broader economy. Tit-for-tat import tariffs are generally inflationary and would raise costs on some building materials, which were already elevated following the pandemic. The spectre of import tariffs on Canadian oil exports in particular, while not currently realized, would significantly diminish Alberta’s economic output.
Inflationary pressures
Inflation increases major operating expenses like labour, utilities and materials. Mainstreet works constantly and on multiple fronts to counteract rising expenses. By securing longer-term natural gas contracts, we substantially reduced energy costs across a large portion of Mainstreet buildings. We managed to reduce our insurance costs, a significant Mainstreet expense, by more than 20% for fiscal 2025 by obtaining improved premium rates and coverage. Despite our best efforts to control costs where possible, inflationary pressures nonetheless introduce added financial burdens that will, in some cases, be passed onto tenants through soft rent increases over an extended period of time.
Taxes
Carbon taxes, which ultimately raise costs on landlords, increased to $80 per tonne this year, and are scheduled to rise to $95 per tonne in April 2025. Property taxes in Vancouver/Lower Mainland, Calgary, Edmonton, Regina and Saskatoon are all set to rise in coming years in line with municipal spending plans. Lastly, Mainstreet is now liable for corporate taxes for one of the first times in our history due to our sustained growth and solid financial performance in recent years. We view our performance as an unmitigated success, and do not expect corporate taxes to have a material impact on Mainstreet’s overall growth and performance going forward.
OUTLOOK
Putting the S in ESG
We believe that the ongoing housing shortage emphasizes Mainstreet’s position as an important provider of affordable housing in Canada. Due to our commitment to corporate social responsibility, Mainstreet is proud to offer a crucial service at a time when high costs have priced many middle-class Canadians out of the market.
Strong performance across Western Canada
British Columbia, due to government-imposed rental rate caps in the province, offers an especially large mark-to-market gap in BC, which can drive improvements in NOI (see Runway section below). Nearly half (48%) of our acquisitions last year were in BC, and we will continue to analyze further buying options in order to capitalize on the province’s especially low vacancy rates.
Alberta leads the country in terms of population growth, economic output and employment. The province added 204,000 residents between mid-2023 and mid-2024 alone, and ATB Financial forecasts that international net migration into Alberta will reach 46,000 this year and 42,000 the next, well higher than the previous 2013 peak. The country contributed 46% of Canada’s new jobs generated in Q4 2024, according to Statistics Canada, despite accounting for only 12% of the nation’s population. The provincial government is forecasting 2.7% GDP growth this year, the highest in the country, underpinned by rising output in Alberta’s oil and gas, tourism, and tech sectors.
Saskatchewan’s economic growth of 2.3% in 2023, the latest available period, was the second-fastest among provinces, and its net migration has remained solid at around 6,000 newcomers per quarter through 2024. Manitoba’s net migration hit 4,500 in Q3 2024, as we expect growing populations and moderate economic growth in both provinces to keep downward pressure on vacancy rates.
Turning intangibles to tangibles
We expect that the housing crunch will continue driving municipal re-zoning efforts, as evidenced by the City of Calgary’s recent proposal to extend building height limits to encourage density. Such moves align with Mainstreet’s ongoing plans to leverage our portfolio of more than 900 low-density buildings—including buildings with subdividable residual lands—in order to extract added value out of existing assets and additional lands at little cost. Management has developed a three-point plan comprised of the following:
We view this strategy as a major potential driver of growth longer-term, and further evidence of Mainstreet’s intangible value. Management is currently drafting a list of Mainstreet’s clear title assets to determine the scope of these intangibles.
Hedging our debts
As part of our adaptive approach to mortgage positions, Mainstreet has favoured shorter-term debt maturities in recent years to control costs and maximize savings. As always, we are monitoring the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy closely, and will revert back to longer-term mortgages when interest rates justify such a shift.
Raising Mainstreet’s nominal dividend
Mainstreet started offering a nominal dividend ($0.11 per share annually) beginning Q1 2024. Given the apparent success of the nominal dividend based on early-stage performance, our management team now plans to raise the dividend by 45% (to $0.16 per share annually) beginning Q1 2025. Due to Mainstreet’s solid free cash flow, we determined we were well placed to establish a nominal dividend to help widen our shareholder base (including bigger exposure to retail investors), increase trading volume and elevate our market capitalization without negatively impacting liquidity for future non-dilutive growth.
RUNWAY ON EXISTING PORTFOLIO
Forward-Looking Information
Certain statements contained herein constitute “forward-looking statements” as such term is used in applicable Canadian securities laws. These statements relate to analysis and other information based on forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable and assumptions of management. In particular, statements concerning estimates related to future acquisitions, dispositions and capital expenditures, increase or reduction of vacancy rates, increase or decrease of rental rates and rental revenue, future income and profitability, timing of refinancing of debt and completion, timing and costs of renovations, increased or decreased funds from operations and cash flow, the Corporation's liquidity and financial capacity, improved rental conditions, future environmental impact the Corporation's goals and the steps it will take to achieve them the Corporation's anticipated funding sources to meet various operating and capital obligations and other factors and events described in this document should be viewed as forward-looking statements to the extent that they involve estimates thereof. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions of future events or performance (often, but not always, using such words or phrases as “expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “anticipates” or “does not anticipate”, “plans”, “estimates” or “intends”, or stating that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved) are not statements of historical fact and should be viewed as forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future events or performance and by their nature involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, including those risks described in this Annual Information Form under the heading “Risk Factors”, that may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Corporation to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks and other factors include, among others, costs and timing of the development of existing properties, availability of capital to fund stabilization programs, other issues associated with the real estate industry including availability but without limitation of labour and costs of renovations, fluctuations in vacancy rates, unoccupied units during renovations, rent control, fluctuations in utility and energy costs, credit risks of tenants, fluctuations in interest rates and availability of capital, and other such business risks as discussed herein. Material factors or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making an estimate set out in the forward-looking statements include, among others, the rental environment compared to several years ago, relatively stable interest costs, access to equity and debt capital markets to fund (at acceptable costs) and the availability of purchase opportunities for growth in Canada. Although the Corporation has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements, other factors may cause actions, events or results to be different than anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate as actual results and future events could vary or differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements contained herein.
Forward-looking statements are based on Management's beliefs, estimates and opinions on the date the statements are made, and the Corporation undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements if these beliefs, estimates and opinions should change except as required by applicable securities laws or as otherwise described therein.
Certain information set out herein may be considered as “financial outlook” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The purpose of this financial outlook is to provide readers with disclosure regarding the Corporations reasonable expectations as to the anticipated results of its proposed business activities for the periods indicated. Readers are cautioned that the financial outlook may not be appropriate for other purposes.
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For further information: Bob Dhillon, Founder, President & CEO
D: +1 (403) 215-6063
Executive Assistant: +1 (403) 215-6070
100, 305 10 Avenue SE, Calgary, AB T2G 0W2 Canada
TSX: MEQ
https://www.mainst.biz/
https://www.sedarplus.ca