Strong Well Results and Successful Acquisition Integration Drive Increased Full Year Production Guidance
Highlights:
DENVER, Nov. 7, 2023 /CNW/ - Ovintiv Inc. (NYSE: OVV) (TSX: OVV) ("Ovintiv" or the "Company") today announced its third quarter 2023 financial and operating results. The Company plans to hold a conference call and webcast at 10:00 a.m. MT (12:00 p.m. ET) on November 8, 2023. Please see dial-in details within this release, as well as additional details on the Company's website at www.ovintiv.com under Presentations and Events – Ovintiv.
"Our outstanding third quarter results are a reflection of the momentum we have been building all year," said Ovintiv President and CEO, Brendan McCracken. "Strong well performance across the portfolio, combined with the seamless integration of our new Permian assets, has allowed us to significantly exceed our oil and condensate guidance, reflecting both enhanced capital efficiency and higher returns on our invested capital."
Third Quarter 2023 Financial and Operating Results
Guidance
The Company issued its fourth quarter 2023 guidance and favorably revised its full year guidance. Full year production guidance was increased due to strong well productivity across the portfolio and faster than expected integration of recently acquired Permian assets. Full year capital efficiency is expected to improve by approximately six percent compared to the guidance issued following the completion of the Permian asset acquisition in June. Full year production volumes are expected to average 550 to 560 MBOE/d, with full year capital investment of $2.745 billion to $2.785 billion.
Full Year 2023 | ||||||
Guidance Updates | 4Q 2023 | As of June 2023 | As of July 2023 | Updated | ||
Total Production (MBOE/d) | 560 – 580 | 521 – 546 | 535 – 550 | 550 – 560 | ||
Oil & Condensate (Mbbls/d) | 220 – 227 | 186 – 196 | 190 – 196 | 196 – 198 | ||
NGLs (C2 - C4) (Mbbls/d) | 84 – 88 | 80 – 85 | 83 – 87 | 87– 89 | ||
Natural Gas (MMcf/d) | 1,550 – 1,600 | 1,525 – 1,575 | 1,575 – 1,625 | 1,615 – 1,630 | ||
Capital Investment ($ Millions) | $660 – $700 | $2,680 – $2,980 | $2,680 – $2,850 | $2,745 – $2,785 |
Ovintiv expects production in the fourth quarter to be the high point for the year resulting from strong well productivity across the portfolio along with the acceleration of acquired Permian wells turned in line (TIL). The Company expects all acquired Permian wells in progress to be on production by year end. Total Company oil and condensate production is expected to average 220 to 227 Mbbls/d in the fourth quarter.
2024 Outlook
In 2024, Ovintiv expects to deliver total Company average oil and condensate production volumes of approximately 200 Mbbls/d with total capital investment of $2.1 billion to $2.5 billion. The Company's production profile is expected to stabilize at approximately 200 Mbbls/d by the second quarter of 2024, one quarter sooner than originally planned.
Returns to Shareholders
Ovintiv remains committed to its capital allocation framework, which returns at least 50% of post base dividend Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow to shareholders through buybacks and/or variable dividends.
In the third quarter of 2023, the Company returned approximately $127 million to shareholders through share buybacks totaling approximately $45 million and its base dividend of approximately $82 million.
On September 13, 2023, the Company purchased one million shares of Ovintiv common stock from the 15 million shares offered for sale by NMB Stock Trust, a Delaware statutory trust, in a secondary public offering. The total consideration paid was approximately $45 million, or $45.45 per share, and the shares were cancelled during the third quarter of 2023. The share purchase accelerates Ovintiv's expected fourth quarter share purchases under its existing shareholder return framework. Share buybacks in the fourth quarter are expected to total approximately $53 million.
Continued Balance Sheet Focus
Ovintiv had approximately $3.1 billion in total liquidity as of September 30, 2023, which included available credit facilities of $3,150 million, available uncommitted demand lines of $273 million, and cash and cash equivalents of $3 million, net of outstanding commercial paper of $359 million.
Ovintiv reported Non-GAAP Debt to EBITDA of 1.4 times and Non-GAAP Debt to Adjusted EBITDA of 1.5 times as of September 30, 2023.
The Company remains committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet and is currently rated investment grade by four credit rating agencies. Ovintiv maintains a long-term leverage target of 1.0 times Non-GAAP Debt to Adjusted EBITDA at mid-cycle prices, with an associated long-term total debt target of $4.0 billion.
Dividend Declared
On November 7, 2023, Ovintiv's Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share of common stock payable on December 29, 2023, to shareholders of record as of December 15, 2023.
Asset Highlights
Permian
Permian production averaged 194 MBOE/d (83% liquids) in the third quarter. The Company had 83 net wells TIL. Ovintiv plans to invest approximately $1.43 to $1.47 billion in the play in 2023 to bring on 170 to 180 net wells.
Montney
Montney production averaged 229 MBOE/d (21% liquids) in the third quarter. The Company had 22 net wells TIL. Ovintiv plans to invest approximately $540 to $580 million in the play in 2023 to bring on 75 to 80 net wells.
Uinta
Uinta production averaged 24 MBOE/d (84% liquids) in the third quarter. The Company had ten net wells TIL. Ovintiv plans to invest approximately $415 to $435 million in the play in 2023 to bring on 21 to 26 net wells. Capital investment in 2023 includes drilling and completion expenditures on wells that will not TIL until 2024.
Anadarko
Anadarko production averaged 119 MBOE/d (60% liquids) in the third quarter. The Company had one net well TIL. Ovintiv plans to invest approximately $190 to $210 million in the play in 2023 to bring on 26 net wells.
For additional information, please refer to the Third Quarter 2023 Results Presentation available on Ovintiv's website, www.ovintiv.com under Presentations and Events – Ovintiv. Supplemental Information, and Non-GAAP Definitions and Reconciliations, are available on Ovintiv's website under Financial Documents Library.
Conference Call Information
A conference call and webcast to discuss the Company's third quarter results will be held at 10:00 a.m. MT (12:00 p.m. ET) on November 8, 2023.
To join the conference call without operator assistance, you may register and enter your phone number at https://emportal.ink/3nQ9Md7 to receive an instant automated call back. You can also dial direct to be entered to the call by an Operator. Please dial 888-664-6383 (toll-free in North America) or 416-764-8650 (international) approximately 15 minutes prior to the call.
The live audio webcast of the conference call, including slides and financial statements, will be available on Ovintiv's website, www.ovintiv.com under Investors/Presentations and Events. The webcast will be archived for approximately 90 days.
Refer to Note 1 Non-GAAP measures and the tables in this release for reconciliation to comparable GAAP financial measures.
Capital Investment and Production
(for the period ended September 30) | 3Q 2023 | 3Q 2022 |
Capital Expenditures (1) ($ millions) | 834 | 511 |
Oil (Mbbls/d) | 170.9 | 133.4 |
NGLs – Plant Condensate (Mbbls/d) | 43.3 | 46.0 |
Oil & Plant Condensate (Mbbls/d) | 214.2 | 179.4 |
NGLs – Other (Mbbls/d) | 86.7 | 86.9 |
Total Liquids (Mbbls/d) | 300.9 | 266.3 |
Natural gas (MMcf/d) | 1,625 | 1,500 |
Total production (MBOE/d) | 571.8 | 516.3 |
(1) | Including capitalized directly attributable internal costs. |
Third Quarter Financial Summary
(for the period ended September 30) ($ millions) | 3Q 2023 | 3Q 2022 |
Cash From (Used In) Operating Activities Deduct (Add Back): Net change in other assets and liabilities Net change in non-cash working capital | 906
(14) (192) | 962
(17) 31 |
Non-GAAP Cash Flow (1) | 1,112 | 948 |
Non-GAAP Cash Flow (1) | 1,112 | 948 |
Less: Capital Expenditures (2) | 834 | 511 |
Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow (1) | 278 | 437 |
Net Earnings (Loss) Before Income Tax Before-tax (Addition) Deduction: Unrealized gain (loss) on risk management Non-operating foreign exchange gain (loss) | 393
(292) 17 | 1,274
710 (20) |
Adjusted Earnings (Loss) Before Income Tax Income tax expense (recovery) | 668 187 | 584 231 |
Non-GAAP Adjusted Earnings (1) | 481 | 353 |
(1) | Non-GAAP Cash Flow, Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow and Non-GAAP Adjusted Earnings are non-GAAP measures as defined in Note 1. |
(2) | Including capitalized directly attributable internal costs. |
Realized Pricing Summary (Including the impact of realized gains (losses) on risk management)
(for the period ended September 30) | 3Q 2023 | 3Q 2022 |
Liquids ($/bbl) | ||
WTI | 82.26 | 91.55 |
Realized Liquids Prices | ||
Oil | 79.52 | 81.74 |
NGLs – Plant Condensate | 71.61 | 75.73 |
Oil & Plant Condensate | 77.94 | 80.20 |
NGLs – Other | 18.39 | 31.49 |
Total NGLs | 36.11 | 46.81 |
Natural Gas | ||
NYMEX ($/MMBtu) | 2.55 | 8.20 |
Realized Natural Gas Price ($/Mcf) | 2.51 | 1.85 |
Cost Summary
(for the period ended September 30) ($/BOE, except as indicated) | 3Q 2023 | 3Q 2022 |
Production, mineral and other taxes | 1.70 | 2.29 |
Upstream transportation and processing | 7.40 | 8.99 |
Upstream operating | 4.48 | 4.64 |
Administrative, excluding long-term incentive, transaction and legal costs, and current expected credit losses | 1.27 | 1.39 |
Debt to EBITDA (1)
($ millions, except as indicated) | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 |
Long-Term Debt, including Current Portion | 6,163 | 3,570 |
Net Earnings (Loss) | 2,564 | 3,637 |
Add back (Deduct): | ||
Depreciation, depletion and amortization | 1,549 | 1,113 |
Interest | 312 | 311 |
Income tax expense (recovery) | (11) | (77) |
EBITDA | 4,414 | 4,984 |
Debt to EBITDA (times) | 1.4 | 0.7 |
Debt to Adjusted EBITDA (1)
($ millions, except as indicated) | September 30, 2023 | December 31, 2022 |
Long-Term Debt, including Current Portion | 6,163 | 3,570 |
Net Earnings (Loss) | 2,564 | 3,637 |
Add back (Deduct): | ||
Depreciation, depletion and amortization | 1,549 | 1,113 |
Accretion of asset retirement obligation | 18 | 18 |
Interest | 312 | 311 |
Unrealized (gains) losses on risk management | (398) | (741) |
Foreign exchange (gain) loss, net | (6) | 15 |
Other (gains) losses, net | (19) | (33) |
Income tax expense (recovery) | (11) | (77) |
Adjusted EBITDA | 4,009 | 4,243 |
Debt to Adjusted EBITDA (times) | 1.5 | 0.8 |
1) | Debt to EBITDA and Debt to Adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP measures as defined in Note 1. |
Hedge Details as of September 30, 2023
Oil and Condensate Hedges ($/bbl) | 4Q 2023 | 1Q 2024 | 2Q 2024 | 3Q 2024 | 4Q 2024 |
WTI Swaps | 35 Mbbls/d $76.94 | 25 Mbbls/d $73.69 | 25 Mbbls/d $73.69 | 0 - | 0 - |
WTI Collars Call Strike Put Strike | 35 Mbbls/d $87.60 $65.00 | 75 Mbbls/d $82.29 $64.33 | 75 Mbbls/d $80.39 $65.00 | 10 Mbbls/d $92.06 $60.00 | 0 - - |
WTI 3-Way Options Long Put Short Put | 40 Mbbls/d $104.19 $65.00 $50.00 | 0 - - - | 0 - - - | 40 Mbbls/d $89.76 $65.00 $50.00 | 10 Mbbls/d $89.79 $65.00 $50.00 |
Natural Gas Hedges ($/Mcf) | 4Q 2023 | 1Q 2024 | 2Q 2024 | 3Q 2024 | 4Q 2024 |
NYMEX Swaps | 0 - | 200 MMcf/d $3.62 | 200 MMcf/d $3.62 | 200 MMcf/d $3.62 | 200 MMcf/d $3.62 |
NYMEX Collars Call Strike Put Strike | 200 MMcf/d $3.68 $3.00 | 400 MMcf/d $5.10 $3.00 | 400 MMcf/d $3.40 $3.00 | 400 MMcf/d $3.40 $3.00 | 400 MMcf/d $5.57 $3.00 |
NYMEX 3-Way Options Put Strike Sold Put Strike | 400 MMcf/d $10.05 $4.00 $3.00 | 100 MMcf/d $4.79 $3.00 $2.25 | 200 MMcf/d $4.44 $3.00 $2.25 | 200 MMcf/d $4.44 $3.00 $2.25 | 100 MMcf/d $4.79 $3.00 $2.25 |
Waha Basis Swaps | 30 MMcf/d ($0.61) | 0 - | 0 - | 0 - | 0 - |
Waha % of NYMEX Swaps | 0 - | 50 MMcf/d 71% | 50 MMcf/d 71% | 50 MMcf/d 71% | 50 MMcf/d 71% |
Malin Basis Swaps | 50 MMcf/d ($0.26) | 0 - | 0 - | 0 - | 0 - |
AECO Basis Swaps | 260 MMcf/d ($1.07) | 190 MMcf/d ($1.08) | 190 MMcf/d ($1.08) | 190 MMcf/d ($1.08) | 190 MMcf/d ($1.08) |
AECO % of NYMEX Swaps | 50 MMcf/d 71% | 100 MMcf/d 72% | 100 MMcf/d 72% | 100 MMcf/d 72% | 100 MMcf/d 72% |
Price Sensitivities for WTI Oil (1) ($MM)